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Sunday, August 31, 2025

INDIAN ECONOMY - THE CURRENT SITUATION

 


Report on the Indian Economy (2020-2025)

The performance of the Indian economy over the last five years has been marked by a period of significant volatility and subsequent recovery. Here is a report on its key aspects.


Economic Performance and Growth

India's economic trajectory in the past five years has been primarily influenced by the global economic downturns and the COVID-19 pandemic. Following a period of modest growth, the economy experienced a sharp contraction in 2020-21 due to the national lockdown. However, it rebounded with strong growth in the following years, driven by government spending, a revival in private consumption, and a robust services sector. India's economy is projected to be one of the fastest-growing major economies globally, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and other organizations forecasting continued expansion.


Inflation and Living Standards of Indian People

Inflation has been a significant concern, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remaining high, particularly in the aftermath of global supply chain disruptions and rising commodity prices. Food inflation has been a persistent driver of the overall inflation rate, directly impacting household budgets. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has implemented measures to manage this, including adjusting interest rates.

Living standards for the lower and middle classes have faced challenges due to this inflation, which has eroded purchasing power. However, the government has implemented various welfare schemes aimed at providing direct support, such as free food grain distribution programs, which have helped to mitigate some of the economic hardship for the most vulnerable sections of the population. These measures have been credited with preventing a significant increase in poverty.


Impact of US Tariffs

The import duties imposed by the United States under the Trump administration had a limited and specific impact on the Indian economy. The duties primarily targeted a range of steel and aluminum products. In response, India imposed retaliatory tariffs on several US-origin products. While these tariffs created some friction in the trade relationship, their overall effect on the macroeconomic stability of India was not substantial. They did not directly or significantly affect the living standards of Indian citizens, including students or those living in the USA without status, as the primary impact of such tariffs is on international trade and the business sector, not on individuals' daily lives.

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